文章摘要
体外膜肺氧合治疗心源性休克患者预后影响因素分析
Analysis of prognostic factors of cardiogenic shock patients treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
投稿时间:2020-09-29  
DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-0399.2021.05.005
中文关键词: 体外膜肺氧合  临床指标  心源性休克
英文关键词: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation  Clinical indicators  Cardiogenic shock
基金项目:吴阶平医学基金会(项目编号:320.6750.19090-19)
作者单位E-mail
曹晓光 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
黄羽 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
王春艳 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
苏丹 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
周树生 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
金魁 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU  
查渝 230001 安徽合肥 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)急救ICU 514507599@qq.com 
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中文摘要:
      目的 探讨体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)治疗心源性休克患者预后的影响因素。方法 回顾分析2017年1月至2020年9月中国科学技术大学附属第一医院(安徽省立医院)接受ECMO治疗的25例心源性休克患者。根据撤机结果,分为成功组(n=18)与失败组(n=7);根据出院28 d存活,分为存活组(n=11)与死亡组(n=14)。记录肌钙蛋白(Tn)、肌酸激酶同工酶(CK-MB)、胆红素(Bil)、肌酐等指标,分别比较组间不同指标的差异。对单因素分析有统计学意义的指标进行logistic回归分析,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,评价上述指标在预后中的价值。结果 成功组患者的Tn 24 h、48 h差值及CK-MB 48 h差值均高于失败组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。存活组患者Bil 24 h、48 h差值高于死亡组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。logistic回归显示:Tn 24 h差值是撤机保护性因素(P=0.036);住院天数(P=0.045)和Bil 48 h差值(P=0.041)是28 d存活保护性因素。住院天数、Tn 24 h差值和Bil 24 h差值的ROC曲线下面积和最佳截断值分别为0.893、0.825、0.786和20.41、3.65、14.50。结论 Bil 24 h差值、住院时间和Tn 24 h差值对ECMO辅助治疗患者的预后有良好的预测价值,应动态观察。
英文摘要:
      Objective To find out the prognostic factors affecting the prognosis of cardiogenic shock patients treated with ECMO. Methods Twenty-five patients treated with ECMO from January 2017 to September 2020 in the First Affiliated Hospital of USTC (Anhui Provincial Hospital) were retrospectively studied. According to the wearing, the patients were divided into to successful group(n=18) and failed group(n=7).They also were divided into survival group(n=11) and non-survival group(n=14).According to 28-day survival after hospital discharge, Tn, CK-MB, Bil and creatinine were recorded, and the difference in these indicators was compared in different groups. The multivariate logistic regression analysis on the statistically significant indicators of single factor analysis was carried out. These indicators for predicting prognosis were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results Tn and CK-MB within 24h and CK-MB with 48h differences were lower in successful weaning group than those in failure group, and the differences were statistically significant. Bil within 24 h and 48h difference was higher in survival group than that in non-survival group, and the difference was statistically significant. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that Tn within 24 h difference was a protective factor for weaning group(P=0.036); Bil within 24 h difference (P=0.041) and length of stay(P=0.045) were protective factors for 28-day survival. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of the length of stay, Tn and Bil within 24 h difference was 0.893, 0.825 and 0.786, respectively, and the optimal cur-off value was 20.41,3.65 and 14.50, respectively. Conclusions Tn, Bil within 24 h difference and length of hospital stay have good predictive value for the prognosis of patients with ECMO, which should be observed dynamically.
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