文章摘要
基于倾向匹配研究IL-6/IL-10比值与重症肺炎患者预后的关系
Relationship between IL-6/IL-10 ratio and prognosis of severe pneumonia patients based on propensity score matching
投稿时间:2023-05-10  
DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-0399.2024.01.011
中文关键词: 白介素-6/白介素-10比值  倾向评分匹配法  重症肺炎  预后
英文关键词: Interleukin-6/interleukin-10 ratio  Propensity score matching method  Severe pneumonia  Prognosis
基金项目:石家庄市科学技术研究与发展计划项目(编号:211201173)
作者单位
张云龙 050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院重症医学科 
宋晓飞 050011 河北石家庄 河北省人民医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科 
骆海霞 050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院心血管内一科 
赵辉明 050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科 
曹云云 050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院重症医学科 
胡春利 050011 河北石家庄 石家庄市人民医院重症医学科 
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中文摘要:
      目的 采用倾向评分匹配法(PSM)探究白介素-6(IL-6)/白介素-10(IL-10)比值与重症肺炎(SP)患者预后的关系。方法 选取2016年5月至2022年6月石家庄市人民医院收治的肺炎患者550例作为研究对象,其中SP患者450例为SP组,轻症肺炎患者100例为轻症组,并选取同期100例体检健康者为健康组。比较3组对象IL-6、IL-10水平及IL-6/IL-10比值;以同期体检健康者IL-6/IL-10比值的中位数(0.96)为界限,将SP组患者分为IL-6/IL-10低比值组(n=76)和IL-6/IL-10高比值组(n=374),比较两组SP患者临床指标及生存情况。利用倾向评分匹配法(PSM)均衡两组SP患者其他临床指标的差异,比较PSM后IL-6/IL-10低比值组(n=75)、IL-6/IL-10高比值组(n=75)生存情况;COX回归模型分析PMS后IL-6/IL-10比值与SP患者预后的关系。结果 SP组患者血清IL-6、IL-10水平及IL-6/IL-10比值高于轻症组、健康组(P<0.05),且轻症组高于健康组(P<0.05)。PSM前,IL-6/IL-10高比值组患者应用抗菌药物时间长于IL-6/IL-10低比值组,行机械通气治疗、死亡比例高于IL-6/IL-10低比值组(P<0.05);PSM后,IL-6/IL-10高比值组患者死亡比例高于IL-6/IL-10低比值组(P<0.05)。IL-6/IL-10比值是SP患者预后的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。结论 SP患者IL-6/IL-10比值较高,经PMS平衡混杂因素后,IL-6/IL-10比值仍是评估SP患者预后的独立危险因素。
英文摘要:
      Objective To explore the relationship between the ratio of interleukin-6(IL-6)/interleukin-10(IL-10) and the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia(SP) by propensity score matching(PSM).Methods A total of 550 pneumonia patients admitted to Shijiazhuang People's Hospital from May 2016 to June 2022 were selected as the research subjects, of which 450 patients with SP were in the SP group, 100 patients with mild pneumonia were in the mild group, and 100 healthy people with physical examination were regarded as the healthy group. The levels of IL-6, IL-10 and the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in the mild group, SP group and healthy group were compared, taking the median of IL-6/IL-10 ratio(0.96) of healthy subjects during physical examination as the boundary, SP patients were grouped into low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=76) and high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=374), then the clinical indicators and survival of SP patients were compared between the two groups.Propensity score matching(PSM) was used to balance the differences in other clinical indicators between the two groups of SP patients, after PMS, the survival of low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=75) and high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(n=75) was compared; COX regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 after PMS and the prognosis of SP patients.Results The levels of serum IL-6, IL-10 and the ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in the SP group were higher than those in the mild group and the healthy group(P<0.05), and those inthe mild group were higher than those in the healthy group(P<0.05). Before PSM, patients in the high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group were treated with antibiotics longer than those in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05), and the ratio of mechanical ventilation and death rate were higher than those in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05), after PSM, the death rate of patients in the high IL-6/IL-10 ratio group was higher than that in the low IL-6/IL-10 ratio group(P<0.05).The ratio of IL-6/IL-10 was an independent risk factor for the prognosis of SP patients(P<0.05).Conclusion The ratio of IL-6/IL-10 in SP patients is higher. After balancing the confounding factors by PMS, the ratio of IL-6/IL-10is still an independent risk factor for evaluating the prognosis of SP patients.
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